Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.037953 0.041287 0.044644 0.048271 0.052074 0.055936 0.060149
2025-11-02 0.031132 0.035930 0.040928 0.046498 0.052510 0.058781 0.065795
2025-11-09 0.026705 0.032542 0.038810 0.045988 0.053925 0.062385 0.072033
2025-11-16 0.023316 0.029904 0.037181 0.045715 0.055354 0.065815 0.077940
2025-11-23 0.021537 0.028863 0.037151 0.047064 0.058449 0.070982 0.085688
2025-11-30 0.019905 0.027817 0.036968 0.048112 0.061105 0.075585 0.092758
2025-12-07 0.018305 0.026655 0.036525 0.048749 0.063201 0.079491 0.098995
2025-12-14 0.016643 0.025278 0.035710 0.048846 0.064586 0.082518 0.104183
2025-12-21 0.015702 0.024724 0.035825 0.049999 0.067166 0.086894 0.110899
2025-12-28 0.013972 0.023025 0.034421 0.049216 0.067372 0.088447 0.114304
2026-01-04 0.012867 0.022069 0.033884 0.049441 0.068739 0.091326 0.119225
2026-01-11 0.012055 0.021450 0.033730 0.050103 0.070606 0.094777 0.124804
2026-01-18 0.011251 0.020811 0.033542 0.050737 0.072474 0.098285 0.130531
2026-01-25 0.009641 0.018909 0.031596 0.049052 0.071419 0.098246 0.132029
2026-02-01 0.008620 0.017789 0.030639 0.048593 0.071854 0.099979 0.135621
2026-02-08 0.007761 0.016846 0.029874 0.048344 0.072521 0.101973 0.139512
2026-02-15 0.007496 0.016811 0.030364 0.049755 0.075300 0.106562 0.146547
2026-02-22 0.007154 0.016626 0.030624 0.050847 0.077666 0.110643 0.152975
2026-03-01 0.006715 0.016245 0.030580 0.051510 0.079469 0.114023 0.158555
2026-03-08 0.006155 0.015618 0.030143 0.051612 0.080525 0.116466 0.162986
2026-03-15 0.005923 0.015536 0.030503 0.052804 0.083006 0.120690 0.169607
2026-03-22 0.005208 0.014541 0.029449 0.051996 0.082829 0.121562 0.172094
2026-03-29 0.004798 0.014061 0.029152 0.052228 0.084013 0.124140 0.176682